Tony:
My doc will not say what he thinks chances of keeping bladder are. And I have asked.
What he will say is that by the 2 TURs + MMC I have reduced my 5-year chances of recurrence from 80-90% to 10-20%. And that, and this is putting words in his mouth, that the longer I go without a recurrence, the less likely he is going to recommend an RC (radical cysectomy = bladder removal) on the first recurrence.
He says he is conservative and if I had had a recurrence at my first post-BCG cysto (in Sept 2008), he would "likely" have recommended an RC. Thankfully the little red spots and white stuff he saw during cysto were only irritation of the bladder due to the BCG, etc. but it took another TUR/biopsy to confirm that.
So I am getting used to the idea that I have to go in 3-4 month increments and hope that it then goes to 6 month and then one year increments.
Ask away if any other questions.
Good luck.
David
PS - Are you having a second TUR before starting the BCG?
Male Dx T1G3 5/08 @ Age 59. TURBT 5/08; TURBT+40 mg MMC 6/08; BCG (6) 7/08-8/08; Cysto & TURBT 9/08; BCG Maint(3) 10/08, 3/09; 7/09; 11/09; 5/10; & 1/11. Clean cystos 2/09, 9/09, 3/10, & 10/10.